Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.639626 3.007133 3.397650 3.842474 4.334043 4.859585 5.462842
2024-12-22 1.974475 2.482270 3.064844 3.777799 4.621631 5.583240 6.756338
2024-12-29 1.611155 2.210503 2.945628 3.901617 5.098825 6.534757 8.372007
2025-01-05 1.341693 1.992929 2.840874 4.003544 5.531272 7.443406 9.987105
2025-01-12 1.090860 1.748994 2.655847 3.961791 5.754216 8.084371 11.291676
2025-01-19 0.932861 1.602621 2.573263 4.032195 6.110749 8.900610 12.851004
2025-01-26 0.802455 1.472465 2.490701 4.082878 6.429483 9.670536 14.376266
2025-02-02 0.699538 1.366521 2.426333 4.145003 6.757185 10.458722 15.953757
2025-02-09 0.599319 1.247290 2.323755 4.133041 6.966123 11.080374 17.318022
2025-02-16 0.506247 1.123955 2.197210 4.066226 7.079296 11.559838 18.491020
2025-02-23 0.445301 1.048677 2.140225 4.101796 7.345648 12.269307 20.018752
2025-03-02 0.380697 0.954648 2.038023 4.049370 7.463380 12.754119 21.227266
2025-03-09 0.340154 0.904442 2.012073 4.130152 7.810354 13.619861 23.067424
2025-03-16 0.294559 0.835260 1.942590 4.128060 8.020281 14.284325 24.634500
2025-03-23 0.272356 0.814564 1.964180 4.291680 8.519333 15.428023 26.987082
2025-03-30 0.248556 0.785518 1.965142 4.415696 8.955505 16.487819 29.246968
2025-04-06 0.213526 0.721264 1.884880 4.376506 9.099543 17.074440 30.776167
2025-04-13 0.192373 0.688359 1.866867 4.455619 9.457592 18.026888 32.922566
2025-04-20 0.172074 0.653253 1.839234 4.511844 9.774824 18.921030 35.002206
2025-04-27 0.154884 0.623097 1.818755 4.579818 10.115650 19.866224 37.194327
2025-05-04 0.135106 0.580216 1.762553 4.567074 10.301101 20.548470 38.969882
2025-05-11 0.114924 0.530429 1.682407 4.494645 10.365079 21.017958 40.400310
2025-05-18 0.102490 0.503081 1.654480 4.533309 10.646371 21.879194 42.517897